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中国家庭的代际同住及其驱动机制变迁——基于 CHNS 1991—2015 的九期调查数据
作者: 李 婷1,胡文波2
单位: 1. 中国人民大学 人口与发展研究中心, 北京 100872; 2. 中国人民大学 社会与人口学院, 北京 100872
关键词: 代际同住; 价值驱动; 需求驱动; 城乡差异; 家庭变迁
分类号:C92-05
出版年,卷(期):页码:2021(06):54-67
摘要:
利用CHNS1991—2015跨度25年的追踪调查数据来观察中国家庭代际同住的变迁。发现在这个时期内,老人与子女的同住比例从20世纪90年代初的高位迅速下滑,但在2000年后停止下降并保持在相对稳定的水平。个体和时期的固定效应模型显示,老人的健康和婚姻状况是对代际同住影响最大的两个因素,同时它们的效应也会随着时期发生变化并在城乡老人中显示出不同的模式:早期处于虚弱状态的城市老人更可能与子女同住,但到2015年更健康的城市老人与子女同住的可能性更高;早期有配偶的农村老人更有可能与子女同住,但在近期无配偶的农村老人与子女同住的可能性更高。这些结果在一定程度上说明,在过去20多年间,城市家庭的代际同住主要是由需求主导的,并且由更多的向上需求驱动转向了更多的向下需求驱动。而农村家庭的代际同住机制也发生了变化,其表现为价值规范的约束在减弱而向上需求的驱动力在增强。

Based on China Health and Nutrition Survey data from 1991 to 2015 spanning 25 years, the research focuses on the transition of intergenerational coresidence in China. The coresidence rate of older parents with their children started to decline from a high level in the early 1990s, but stopped falling after 2000, and maintained a relatively stable level since then. The results of the two-way fixed effect model showed that parents’ health and marital status significantly affected intergenerational coresidence, and the effects varied across periods and showed different patterns in urban and rural areas. In urban area, older parents in frailer status tended to live with their children in earlier period, but healthier older parents were more likely to live with their children in recent years. In rural area, having a spouse increased the possibility of intergenerational coresidence for older parents in earlier years, but the rural elderly without spouses are more likely to live with their children in recent years. The results indicated that coresidence in urban household was primarily a need-driven arrangement since the 1990s, to some extent, and the driving needs were transformed mainly from parents’ needs to children’s needs. In addition, the driven mechanisms of coresidence in rural household manifested a weakening of value norms and a strengthening of parents’ needs.
基金项目:
国家社会科学基金一般项目 “动态系统视角下的中国家庭及其变动趋势研究” (20BRK043)
作者简介:
李婷, 人口学博士, 中国人民大学人口与发展研究中心教授; 胡文波, 中国人民大学社会与人口学院本科生
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