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子女外出对农村老人互助养老意愿的影响
作者: 辛宝英1,2, 杨 真3
单位: 1. 山东管理学院 乡村振兴研究中心, 山东 济南 250357; 2. 南京航空航天大学 经济与管理学院, 江苏 南京 210016; 3. 山东管理学院 经贸学院, 山东 济南 250357
关键词: 互助养老; 子女外出; 人口流动; 家庭小型化
分类号:F328
出版年,卷(期):页码:2022(05):16-30
摘要:
在农村养老问题凸显和国家倡导互助养老的背景下, 为探讨互助养老是否具有全国普适性, 基于 2020 年山东省农村互助养老专项调查数据, 使用 logit、Probit 和 PSM 等计量方法, 检验了子女外出务工或经商对农村老年人互助养老参与意愿的影响, 并对老年人所需的互助服务项目进行了分析。理论上讲, 当家庭普遍无力解决养老难题时, 互助养老丰富的服务供给以及互助力量的代际接力理念, 叠
加小农社会为维持生产而自发互助的传统, 有助于养老责任在差序格局的乡村社会由家庭和宗族网络向乡邻关系网络转移。实证研究发现, 子女外出显著提升了留村父母参与互助养老的意愿; 而且子女和兄弟姐妹数量越少、 生计来源中养老金的重要性越高, 提升作用越强; 家庭养老满意度降低、 家庭养老负担加重、 担忧将来养老是子女外出推动老年人参与互助养老的潜在动因; 老年人对互助服务的需求, 按期待强度依次为健康支持、生活照料、农活帮忙和精神慰藉。上述结果表明, 在乡城人口大流动、 家庭规模小型化和养老金体系不断完善的趋势性背景下, 互助养老适合解决农村养老问题, 具有全国普适性。 文章建议, 可以通过强化健康支持服务、 拓展生活照料服务、推出农活互助服务、深化精神慰藉服务、 夯实资金保障、提高经济独立性等方式, 来增强互助养老的服务能力, 推动互助养老在农村落地、生根和可持续发展。

Under the background of prominent rural pension problems and national advocacy of mutual assistance for the aged, in order to explore whether mutual assistance for the aged is universal across the country. Based on the special survey data of rural mutual support for the aged in Shandong Province in 2020, logit, Probit and PSM models were used to test the influence of children’s going out on the willingness of the elderly to participate in the mutual support in rural areas, and the mutual support services needed by the elderly were analyzed. Theoretically speaking, when families are generally unable to solve the problem of old-age care, the abundant service supply of mutual assistance and the concept of intergenerational
relay of mutual assistance force, combined with the tradition of spontaneous mutual assistance in small-scale peasant society, will help the old-age care responsibility transfer from family and clan network to neighborly network in the rural society with the pattern of difference. The results show that the willingness of parents to participate in mutual support is
significantly increased by their children’ s going out. Moreover, the smaller the number of
children and siblings, the higher the importance of pension as a source of livelihood, the stronger the promotion effect. The lower satisfaction of family support, the heavier burden of family support, and the worry about the future are the potential reasons for the elderly to
participate in mutual support when their children go out. The elderly’s demand for mutual support services is divided into health support, life care, farm work help and spiritual comfort according to the expectation intensity. The above results indicate that on the background of rural urban population flow, small family size and pension system is constantly improving mutual support is suitable to solve the rural ageing problem in china. The article suggests that by strengthening health support services, expanding life care services, launching farm work services, deepening spiritual consolation services, consolidating financial security, improving economic independence and other ways, to enhance the service
capacity of mutual support, promote mutual support take root and sustainable development in rural areas.
基金项目:
国家社会科学基金项目 “城乡融合发展的就业、土地与农民增收联动机制研究” (18BJY143); 山东省社科规划基金项目 “乡村振兴战略下农村劳动力回流促三产融合路径研究”(19CJJJ19)。
作者简介:
辛宝英, 山东管理学院乡村振兴研究中心主任、 教授, 工会理论研究院院长; 杨真 (通讯作者), 经济学博士, 山东管理学院经贸学院讲师。
参考文献:

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