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刊名: 人口与经济
Population & Economics
主办: 首都经济贸易大学
周期: 双月
出版地:北京市
语种: 中文;
开本: 大16开
ISSN: 1000-4149
CN: 11-1115/F
邮发代号: 2-252 

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中老年人长期护理偏好的年龄、时期和队列分析
作者: 杨 波, 闫 杰
单位: 西北大学 公共管理学院, 陕西 西安 710127
关键词: 长期护理偏好; 年龄、时期和队列; 非正式护理
分类号:C913. 6
出版年,卷(期):页码:2023(02):62-78
摘要:
运用中国健康与养老追踪调查 2011—2018 年数据, 使用年龄、时期和队列模型分析方法对中国中老年人长期护理偏好进行分析。研究发现, 中老年人长期护理偏好主要形式是非正式护理, 即主要依靠配偶和子女, 对于其他亲属和正式护理的偏好较弱。长期护理偏好的年龄效应体现为对于配偶提供长期护理偏好呈现倒 “U” 型而对于子女提供长期护理偏好呈现正 “U” 型。从队列维度来看, 1930 年代及以上的高龄老年人更偏好子女提供的长期护理, 1940—1960 年代的中年和低龄老年人更偏好配偶提供的长期护理。在时期维度上, 由于孝道观念、社会政策等影响, 中老年人对于配偶和子女的长期护理偏好呈现先下降后上升, 对于亲属的长期护理偏好略有上升, 而对于正式护理的偏好较为稳定。非正式长期护理偏好存在替代关系, 60—79 岁群体的老年人偏好配偶提供长期护理, 而 80 岁及以上高龄老人则偏好子女提供长期护理服务, 男性比女性更偏好配偶提供长期护理, 农村居民比城镇居民更偏好子女提供长期护理。在我国长期护理需求快速增长的情况下, 了解老年人的长期护理偏好, 激励非正式护理, 能够为我国更有效地完善长期护理保障制度拓展新的思路。

The paper examined the long-term care (LTC) preference of middle-aged and older adults in China by age-period-cohort ( APC) model through China Health and Retirement
Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) from 2011 to 2018. It found that the preference of the middle-aged and elderly people for long-term care is mainly informal care, that is, they mainly rely on their spouses and adult children, which leads they being less likely to prefer other relatives and formal care. The age effect of long-term care preference presents an inverted U-shape for spouses, and positive U-shape for adult children. From the cohort dimension, the elderly born
in the 1930s or before preferred the long-term care provided by their adult children, while the middle-aged and young elderly born in the 1940-1960s preferred the long-term care provided by their spouses. In terms of period dimension, due to the influence of filial piety concept and social policy, the long-term care preference of middle-aged and elderly people for spouses and
adult children decreased first and then increased. The preference of long-term care for relatives did not change much, but increased slightly, and the preference for formal care was relatively stable. There is a substitution relationship between informal long-term care preference. The
elderly aged 60-80 prefer their spouses to provide long-term care, while the elderly aged over 80 prefer their adult children to provide long-term care services. Men prefer their spouses to provide long-term care than women, and rural residents prefer their adult children to provide long-term care than urban residents. With the rapid growth of long-term care demand caused by China’s aging population, it is essential to understand the long-term care preference of the elderly and encourage informal care, so as to expand new ideas for more effective improvement of the long-term care service system in China
基金项目:
国家社会科学基金项目 “智慧健康养老视角下老年人数字鸿沟治理研究” (21BRK011); 陕西省社会科学基金项目“陕西省失能老人社区 ‘整合照料’ 模式研究” (2018G08)。
作者简介:
杨波, 经济学博士, 西北大学公共管理学院讲师; 闫杰, 管理学博士, 西北大学公共管理学院讲师。
参考文献:

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