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刊名: 人口与经济
Population & Economics
主办: 首都经济贸易大学
周期: 双月
出版地:北京市
语种: 中文;
开本: 大16开
ISSN: 1000-4149
CN: 11-1115/F
邮发代号: 2-252 

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年龄—时期—队列视角下老年人死亡质量差异研究
作者: 龚秀全1 , 龚晨曦2
单位: 1. 华东理工大学 社会与公共管理学院, 上海 200237; 2. 华东师范大学 社会发展学院, 上海 200241
关键词: 年龄—时期—队列效应; 死亡质量; 安详程度; 卧床天数
分类号:C913.6
出版年,卷(期):页码:2023(02):79-93
摘要:
老年人死亡质量是反映公共卫生水平的重要指标, 聚焦于我国老年人死亡质量变化情况, 基于中国老年人健康长寿因素追踪调查 (CLHLS) 2005—2018 五期的调查数据, 应用分层 APC 交叉分类随机效应模型, 从年龄、时期和队列三个维度分解出中国老年人死亡安详程度和临终卧床天数的变化趋势, 并分性别、城乡及收入进行分组比较,以分析不同群体老年人死亡质量差异。研究发现: 第一, 老年人死亡安详程度与临终卧床天数的年龄效应显著, 高龄老人的死亡安详程度高的同时临终卧床天数也较高。 第二, 和男性相比, 女性卧床天数显著更长; 在任何年龄段内, 城镇老人比农村老人死亡质量
高, 高收入老人比低收入老人死亡质量高, 且两者的差距随年龄增长在不断扩大。第三,从时期效应来看, 2002年以来我国所有群体老年人临终前的卧床天数都呈上升趋势, 整体老年人死亡时的安详程度没有显著变化, 但城镇老人和高收入老人安详程度有所波动。第四, 各出生队列老年人死亡质量没有明显差距。 基于以上结论, 文章提出构建以健康产出为目标的医疗服务体系、 加强安宁疗护体系建设等来提升老年人死亡质量, 并加大对农村、女性和低收入老年人的支持力度, 以缩小死亡质量差距。

Quality of death of the elderly is an important indicator reflecting the level of public
health. Focusing on the changes in the quality of death among the elderly in China, this paper uses the data of CLHLS from 2005 to 2018, and applies a stratified APC cross-classified random effect model. The trends of the Chinese elderly’s peacefulness degree at death and bedridden days before death were decomposed from the three dimensions of age, period and cohort, and were compared by gender, urban and rural areas, in order to analyze the differences in the quality of death among different groups of the elderly. The research findings are as follows. Firstly, there is a significant age effect between peacefulness degree at death and the number of bedridden days before death in the elderly. The higher age of the elderly, the higher degree of peacefulness and higher number of bedridden days at the end of life. Secondly, women had significantly longer bedridden days than men. In any age group, the urban elderly had a higher quality of death than the rural elderly; Meanwhile, the high-income elderly had a higher quality of death than the low-income elderly; Moreover, the gap between the two groups continued to widen with age. Thirdly, from the perspective of period effect, the number of bedridden days
before death in all groups of the elderly in our country is on the rise in China since 2002. The peacefulness degree of the elderly at death as a whole has not changed significantly, but that of the urban elderly and high-income elderly at death has fluctuated. Fourthly, there was no significant difference in the quality of death of the elderly among each birth cohorts. Based on the above conclusions, the paper proposes to build a medical service system with the goal of health output, strengthen the construction of a palliative care system to improve the quality of death of the elderly, and increase support for the rural, female and low-income elderly to narrow the gap in the quality of death.
基金项目:
国家社会科学基金项目 “老年临终关怀服务标准化及其保障机制研究” (20BGL269)。
作者简介:
龚秀全, 华东理工大学社会与公共管理学院教授, 博士生导师; 龚晨曦, 华东师范大学社会发展学院博士研究生。
参考文献:

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