人口与经济

预期就业风险、就业动机与进城务工人口就业选择行为研究

下载PDF阅读器

作者：韩雪^1,2, 张广胜²

单位： 1. 中共沈阳市委党校公共管理教研部, 辽宁沈阳 110036;
2. 沈阳农业大学经济管理学院, 辽宁沈阳 110036

关键词：进城务工人口;就业部门;预期风险

分类号：F241

出版年,卷(期):页码：2014,35(6):79-90

摘要：

分割性劳动力市场的存在使进城务工人口就业搜寻成本增加, 劳动力市场分割所造成的不同就业部门工资的差异生成了务工的就业风险, 即求职失败的风险, 以及工资收入降低的风险。本文从预期就业风险视角探讨进城务工人口的部门决策行为。对不同风险类型的劳动人口进行分类, 将其代入Logit回归方程, 实证检验得出就业风险因素对就业部门选择行为有重要影响, 风险厌恶型务工人口进入非正规部门从业的概率高于风险偏好型务工人口。

The segmentation of labor market has increased employment cost of the migrant. Job search model cannot effectively explain the employment decision process. Labor market segmentation, which caused the wage differences between different employment sector, generated the workers employment risk, namely the risk to job failure, risk of revenue reduction. We classified the risk types of the labor force and discussed the decision-making behavior of migrant workers. We found that the employment risk factors have important influence on selection behavior of the employment sectors. The probability of the risk-averse worker be employed in the informal sector is lower than that of the labor with lower risk aversion.

基金项目：

国家自然科学基金项目"信息能力、职业流动与新生代农民工市民化:机理与实证"(71273179);国家自然科学基金青年项目"就业质量、职业流动与新生代农民工的工资决定和差异研究"(71303161);教育部新世纪优秀人才支持计划"城市化进程中的农民工市民化问题研究"(NCET-12-1014)

作者简介：

韩雪,中共沈阳市委党校公共管理教研部讲师,沈阳农业大学经济管理学院博士研究生;张广胜,沈阳农业大学经济管理学院院长,教授,博士生导师。

参考文献：

[1] Assaad, R., I.Tunali.Wage Formation and Recurrent Unemployment [J].Labour Economics, 2002, 9 (1).
[2] Low, H., C.Meghir, L.Pistaferri.Wage Risk and Employment Risk over the Life Cycle [R].National Bureau of Economic Research, 2009.
[3] Black, D.A., T.J.Kniesner.On the Measurement of Job Risk in Hedonic Wage Models [J].Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 2003, 27 (3).
[4] Todaro, M.P.A Model of Labor Migration and Urban Unemployment in Less Developed Countries [J].The American Economic Review, 1969, 59 (1).
[5] Stark, O., D.Levhari.On Migration and Risk in LDCs [J].Economic Development and Cultural Change, 1982, 31 (1).
[6] Dohmen, J.Thomas, Armin Falk, David Huffman, Uwe Sunde, Jürgen Schupp, and Gert G.Wagner.Individual Risk Attitudes: New Evidence from a Large, Representative, Experimentally-Validated Survey [R].IZA Discussion Paper 1730, 2005.
[7] Heitmueller, Axel.Unemployment Benefits, Risk Aversion and Migration Incentives [J].Journal of Population Economics, 2005, 18(1).
[8] Malik, N.A Study on Motivational Factors of the Faculty Members at University of Balochistan [J].Serbian Journal of Management, 2010, 5 (1).
[9] Dixit, Avinash.Entry and Exit Decisions under Uncertainty [J].Journal of Political Economy, 1989, 97 (3).
[10] Friedman M., L.J.Savage.The Utility Analysis of Choices Involving Risk [J].The Journal of Political Economy, 1948, 56 (4).
[11] Katz E., O.Stark.Labor Migration and Risk Aversion in Less Developed Countries [J].Journal of Labor Economics, 1986, (4).
[12] Becker, G.S.A Theory of the Allocation of Time [J].The Economic Journal, 1965, 75.
[13] Kockelman, K.M., S.Krishnamurthy.A New Approach for Travel Demand Modeling: Linking Roy's Identity to Discrete Choice [J].Transportation Research PartB, 2004, (38).
[14] Takuya Satomura.Multiple Constraint Choice Models with Cornerand Interior Solutions [J].SSRN, 2010, (8).
[15] 王春超.农民工就业行为的影响因素—珠江三角洲地区农民工就业调查研究[J].华中师范大学学报(人文社会科学版), 2011, (2).
[16] 纪韶."十二五期间"京津冀都市圈农民工就业影响因素—微观决策模型分析视角[J].经济学动态, 2012, (8).
[17] Meng X., Zhang J.The Two-tier Labor Market in Urban China: Occupational Segregation and Wage Differentials between Urban Residents and Rural Migrants in Shanghai [J].Journal of Comparative Economics, 2001, 29 (3).
[18] 白南生, 李靖.城市化与中国农村劳动力流动问题研究[J].中国人口科学, 2008, (4).
[19] 程名望, 潘烜.就业风险对农村剩余劳动力转移的影响—模型与实证[J].公共管理学报, 2010, (3).
[20] Jaeger, D.A., T.Dohmen, A.Falk.Direct Evidence on Risk Attitudes and Migration [J].The Review of Economics and Statistics, 2010, 92 (3).

欢迎阅读《人口与经济》，您是本文的第位浏览者。