人口与经济

中国地区失业率的邻居效应实证分析

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作者：陈丁¹, 张顺²

单位： 1. 西安交通大学金禾经济研究中心, 陕西西安 710049;
2. 西安交通大学人文社会科学学院, 陕西西安 710049

关键词：地区失业率;邻居效应;空间权重

分类号：F241.1

出版年,卷(期):页码：2011,32(5):36-39

摘要：

本文通过空间权重法和空间虚拟变量法设计了中国地区失业率邻居效应变量,并将其加入地区失业率模型后使用1995~2007年中国省域数据进行实证研究。实证结果表明中国地区失业率邻居效应显著存在,这表明毗邻省份失业情况会明显影响本地区失业率水平,这意味着本省在进行就业政策制定时需考虑毗邻省份的实际情况,与此同时,毗邻省份间的充分沟通与合作应成为减少本省遭受外部失业冲击影响的可能措施。

In this paper,we explore whether the neighborhood effect exists in China.After incorporating the neighborhood effect variables designed by spatial-weighted method and spatial dummy variable method into the regional unemployment rate model and utilizing the related provincial data during 1995 and 2007,some interesting findings are found.The result suggests that neighborhood effect on regional unemployment rate is significant in China,which means the unemployment level of neighbor provinces will affect the target provinces significantly.It implies the related situation of the neighbor provinces should be seriously considered when the employment-enhancing policies are made in one province.What's more,communication and cooperation among the adjacent provinces should be the possible ways to lower the risk that one province is affected by the unemployment shock from outside.

基金项目：

西安交通大学211工程三期"管制经济学"基金项目(23071072)

作者简介：

陈丁(1981-),浙江绍兴人,西安交通大学金禾经济研究中心博士研究生。主要研究方向为劳动经济、产业组织

参考文献：

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