设为首页 | 加入收藏
首页
 



您当前的位置: 首页» 电子期刊
购房、城市福利与农民工落户意愿
作者: 邹一南
单位: 中共中央党校 ( 国家行政学院) 经济学教研部,北京 100091
关键词: 购房; 城市福利; 农民工落户意愿
分类号:F061. 3
出版年,卷(期):页码:2021(03):35-51
摘要:
利用2017年中国流动人口动态监测调查数据,研究了购房和城市福利对农民工落户意愿的影响。研究发现,除了在极少数福利水平较高的特大城市外,购买了住房的农民工在城市落户的意愿比未购房的农民工更弱。更高的城市福利水平对农民工落户意愿有促进作用,而在城市购房又对这种促进作用有放大效应。分样本考察发现,农民工中受过高等教育者和雇主,在城市购房后更不愿意落户。这说明,更有能力落户的农民工反而更不愿意在城市落户,愿意落户的往往是没有城市住房且落户能力较弱的打工者。进一步通过对比购房对农民工和外来市民落户意愿的影响,以及购房对农民工落户意愿和留居意愿的影响差异后发现,落户城市并非农民工群体的奋斗目标,而在城市购房的同时保有农村户口并在福利水平较高的城市长期留居则是其理想生活状态。鉴于此,未来“十四五”规划期间的农民工市民化政策,应对落户促进对象做适当调整,由有能力者优先落户转变为有需要者优先落户,在继续提高各类城市公共服务和社会福利水平的同时,将农民工市民化目标由户籍市民化调整为常住市民化。

The impact of urban housing and city welfare on the rural migrants’willingness of household registration,on the basis of 2017 China Migrants Dynamic Survey,is explored. It is found that, with the exception of a few higher-welfare megacities,owing urban housing has negative effect on rural migrants’ intention of household registration. A higher level of city welfare is a promotion of migrant workers’ willingness to settle in city and this promotion is amplified by house purchase in the city. A sub-sample survey by age, education, region and occupation indicates that those highly educated or employers among the migrant workers are even more reluctant to settle down after owing urban housing. This moreover highlights that those who are more able to obtain hukou are less likely to have their household registered in cities and those who are eager to settle in city,by contrast,are generally frustrated workers without urban housing and corresponding capacities. Further comparison between the influence of urban housing on rural migrants’ and on urban migrants’purpose of household registration, and between the impression of owing urban housing to the intention of household registration and permanent residence, stresses that settling in the city is not the goal of migrant workers,and staying in higher welfare cities and keeping urban housing and rural hukou are their aspirations. In this connection, the citizenization policy of rural workers in the 14th Five-Year Plan period should make some adjustments.The selection criteria of hukou promotion targets ought to change from capacity-based priority to demand-based priority,the various urban public services and city welfare ought to be continuously improved and the target of migrant workers’ citizenization ought to be readjusted from citizenization by hukou to citizenization by permanent residence.
基金项目:
国家社会科学基金项目 “农业转移人口市民化政策体系研究"(19CJY012)
作者简介:
邹一南,经济学博士,中共中央党校 ( 国家行政学院) 经济学教研部副教授
参考文献:

欢迎阅读《人口与经济》,您是本文的第位浏览者。

版权所有:《人口与经济》编辑部
技术支持:北京通元动力软件技术有限责任公司