人口与经济

城市群区域人口城市化的空间路径—基于长三角和京津冀ROXY指数方法的分析

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作者：毛新雅¹, 王红霞²

单位： 1. 中国浦东干部学院教学研究部, 上海 200042;
2. 上海社会科学院人口与发展研究所, 上海 200020

关键词：城市群;城市化;长三角;京津冀;ROXY指数

分类号：D631

出版年,卷(期):页码：2014,35(4):43-50

摘要：

文章从城市化空间路径理论出发,运用全国人口普查与抽样调查数据以及ROXY指数方法,分析人口在区域空间的增长变动对长三角和京津冀城市群及其核心城市上海和北京的城市化空间路径发展的影响作用。研究发现,20世纪80年代以来,长三角城市群处于人口加速集中的城市化阶段,京津冀城市群已进入人口减速集中的城市化与郊区化之间的过渡阶段;城市群的核心城市上海和北京分别处于人口逆城市化至再城市化之间的过渡以及人口郊区化与逆城市化之间的过渡阶段,其城市化的空间发展较城市群区域整体更为快速和成熟;上海人口城市化的空间发展超前于产业结构升级,北京则与产业结构演进较为匹配。

Based on China population census data,this paper analyzes the influence of population growth on the spatial stages of urbanization in Yangtze Delta and Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei using the theories and models of spatial path of urbanization with the method of ROXY index. It manifests that from 1980s, spatial stage of the Yangtze Delta is in urbanization of population accelerating centralization while Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Metropolitan is in the transition from urbanization to suburbanization of population decelerating centralization;As core cities of the above two metropolitans,Shanghai and Beijing are at the stage of the transition from counter-urbanization to reurbanization and from suburbanization to counter-urbanization respectively. So the spatial circular stage of urbanization in the core city is more advanced then it in the metropolitan as a whole. The spatial development of population urbanization in Beijing matches its industrial structure whereas the spatial development of population urbanization in Shanghai is ahead of its industrial structure upgrading.

基金项目：

国家哲学社会科学基金项目 "人口‘区域城市化'—基于城市群经济形态的研究" (10CRK006)

作者简介：

毛新雅,经济学博士,中国浦东干部学院副教授;王红霞,经济学博士,上海社会科学院研究员。

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