人口与经济

探索积极就业政策在治理失业中的作用—关于福建省的实证研究

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作者：吴晓琪

单位：清华大学深圳研究生院, 广东深圳 518055

关键词：积极的就业政策;失业持续期;Cox比例风险回归模型;生存时间

分类号：F241.4

出版年,卷(期):页码：2010,31(5):27-31

摘要：

本文采用福建省的失业者抽样调查数据,应用Cox比例风险回归模型验证了积极的就业政策对提高失业者再就业的有效性,并对这种作用进行了测量。分析发现年龄、文化程度、失业前就业单位的性质以及是否参与过积极的就业政策项目的实施,是影响失业者失业持续期长短的主要因素。其中参与过积极就业政策项目的实施可以使失业者再就业几率提高到71%,是否参与过积极就业政策项目的实施成为除文化程度外对失业者失业持续期的最大影响因素。

In this paper,we use Cox's proportional hazard regression model with the survey data from Fujian province to analyze whether the active employment policies are effective in improving the possibility of reemployment. We found that there are four main factors which affect the unemployment duration; they are age,degree of education,the character of their former company and the active employment polices. Joining in the policies will enormously improve the chance of being employed for the unemployed person by more than 71% compared with those not joining in. And the active employment policies become the second effectual factor besides the degree of education.

基金项目：

作者简介：

吴晓琪(1981-),女,山东安丘人,清华大学深圳研究生院博士后,研究方向为产业规划、人口和就业问题。

参考文献：

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