人口与经济

中国的经济平等与生育率

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作者：陈卫

单位：中国人民大学人口与发展研究中心, 北京 100872

关键词：生育率;收入;收入分配;平等性

分类号：C921

出版年,卷(期):页码：2010,31(4):18-23

摘要：

在生育率的经济学研究中, 一个重要的假设就是更加公平的收入分配将有助于降低生育率。本文检验这种假设在中国是否成立。本文利用2005年全国1%人口抽样调查数据, 在地市级水平上分析收入和收入分配对生育率的影响, 使用多元线性回归在控制其他社会经济发展变量的条件下, 考察收入分配对一般生育率的作用。结果显示:收入分配越平等, 一般生育率越低, 两者存在显著的关系。本文最后还讨论了政策和方法意义。

In the economic research of fertility, one of the important hypotheses is that a more equitable income distribution contributes to the reduction of fertility. This paper tests the hypothesis in the Chinese context using data from the most recent national one-percent population sample survey. This paper analyses the influence of income and income distribution on fertility in China using aggregated data at the prefecture-level. Ordinary least square regression is performed to examine the effect of income distribution on general fertility rate when controlling for some other socio-economic development variables. Results show that a more equitable income distribution is significantly associated with a lower general fertility rate. Policy implications and some methodological issues are discussed.

基金项目：

国家社会科学基金项目(09BRK003);教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目(07JZD0027);2010年北京市教育委员会社科计划面上项目(SM201010038010)

作者简介：

陈卫(1964-),中国人民大学人口与发展研究中心教授,研究方向为生殖健康、生育率、流动人口。

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