人口与经济

徘徊在"三岔路口":两代农民工发展意愿的比较研究

作者：悦中山¹, 李树茁², 费尔德曼³, 杜海峰⁴

单位： 1. 西安交通大学管理学院, 陕西西安 710049;
2. 西安交通大学人口与发展研究所, 陕西西安 710049;
3. 斯坦福大学人口与资源研究所, CA 94305, USA;
4. 西安交通大学公共政策与管理学院, 陕西西安 710049

关键词：农民工;新生代;回流迁移;城市化

分类号：F304.6

出版年,卷(期):页码：2009,30(6):58-66

摘要：

利用2005年深圳农民工调查数据,全面考虑了农民工所面临的返乡务农、返乡非农就业和留城发展等三种发展选择,对两代农民工的发展意愿进行了比较研究。研究发现,在中国社会经济转型过程中,新生代农民工更倾向于将外出打工看做是人力资本和社会资本的积累过程并借此来谋求非农职业转化。老一代农民工的非农职业转化的发展意愿不如新生代强烈。

Based on census data of migrant rural workers in Shenzhen 2005 and the three choices they face, namely returning to village for farming, returning to village and doing other work and stay in city, a comparative study is made on development will of two generations of migrant rural workers.The research founds that in the socioeconomic transition, the new generation of the migrant rural workers are more apt to view working in cities as a accumulative process of their human and social capital, which will be used by them as foundation for their shift from farming to other areas.The will of the older generation is far less intense.

基金项目：

自然科学基金(70671083);教育部"新世纪优秀人才支持计划"(NCET-07-0668);西安交通大学"985工程"二期重点项目(07200701);"长江学者"奖励计划;长江学者和创新团队发展计划(IRT0855);美国Santa Fe Institute国际项目基金;斯坦福大学联合资助项目;陕西省社科基金(08H002)

作者简介：

悦中山(1980-),蒙古族,河北丰宁人,西安交通大学管理学院博士研究生,研究方向为社会网络分析、人口社会系统分析

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