人口与经济

服务业就业增长之谜:对鲍穆尔—富克斯假说的再检验

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作者：王俊

单位：南京大学经济学院, 江苏南京 210093

关键词：技术进步;服务业部门;就业增长

分类号：F719

出版年,卷(期):页码：2008,29(6):44-48

摘要：

本文运用1991~2005年我国服务业内部各行业的数据检验了鲍穆尔-富克斯假说。结果表明,制造业相对于服务业劳动生产率的提高会促进服务业各行业就业的增长。而且与制造业劳动生产率差距越大的服务业部门吸纳劳动力的能力越强,用中国的数据再次验证了服务业技术进步滞后是导致就业增长的重要原因。在此基础上,文章就促进我国服务业就业增长提出了简要的政策建议。

The paper retests Baumo-l Fuchs Hypothesis using the data of all walks of Chinaps service industry from 1991~2005. And it shows that the higher labor productivity in manufacturing industry than that of service industry could promote the employment in all walks of service industry. And the bigger the gap of labor productivity between manufacturing industry and certain service division, the higher the ability that division attracts labor force. It is proved again that the lag of technological advance of service industry is the key reason for the employment increase. Based on the dissertation, brief policy advice on promoting Chinaps service industry employment is put forward.

基金项目：

作者简介：

王俊(1972-),安徽蚌埠人,南京大学经济学院博士生,浙江工商大学经济学院讲师,主要从事微观经济理论研究。

参考文献：

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