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刊名: 人口与经济
Population & Economics
主办: 首都经济贸易大学
周期: 双月
出版地:北京市
语种: 中文;
开本: 大16开
ISSN: 1000-4149
CN: 11-1115/F
邮发代号: 2-252 

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中国高龄老人健康预期寿命研究
作者: 顾大男, 曾毅
单位: 北京大学人口研究所, 北京 100871
关键词: 中国;高龄老人;预期寿命;健康预期寿命;隶属等级
分类号:C913.6
出版年,卷(期):页码:2002,23(2):9-15
摘要:

用隶属等级 (Grade of Membership,GOM)模型将反映 1998年被访高龄老人不同健康维度的 50个变量进行综合得到健康、比较健康、功能受限、体弱多病、极度虚弱五个纯类。用这五个纯类将高龄老人预期寿命进行了分析。

Based on 50 variables from various dimensions of health of interviewed oldest old of China in 1998, this paper classifies health status of the oldest old into 5 profiles by applying grade of membership (GOM)model.The five profiles are healthy, relatively healthy, poor functioning, frail, severely impaired.After decomposing the life expectancy of oldest old in China based on these five profiles, result shows that both the number and proportion of healthy life expectancy of male oldest old are higher than those of female oldest olds with one exception in urban octogenarians although total life expectancy of males is lower than that of females.Excluding healthy life expectancy, the proportion of poor functioning life expectancy occupies the highest, and the proportion of frail and severely impaired life expectancy increases sharply with age.
基金项目:
作者简介:
顾大男(1965-),男,北京大学副教授,博士,目前在美国杜克大学从事老年健康博士后研究。
参考文献:

[1] Zeng, Y., and Vaupel, J.W.(1989).Impact of Urbanization and Delayed Childbearing on Population Growth and Aging in China, Population and Development Review 15:425-445.
[2] Zeng, Y., and Linda George.(2000).Family Dynami cs of 63Mi llion (in 1990)to more than 330 mi llion (in 2050)elders in China, Demographic Research.Vol 2, Article 5. www.demographic-research.org volumes vol2 5.
[3] Manton K.G.;Woobury,M.A.;and Tolley, H.D.(1994).Statistical Applications Using Fuzzy Sets.John Wiley &Sons, Inc..New York.
[4] 顾大男.中国高龄老人健康长寿状况及其影响因素分析(北京大学人口所博士论文)2001.
[5] 同[3] .
[6] 顾大男, 曾毅.中国高龄老人健康隶属等级模型分析.中国人口科学(专刊), 2001.9.
[7] 同[3] .
[8] Zeng, Y, Vaupel J.W., Xiao.Z.Y., Zhang C.Y, and Liu.Y.Z.(2001)The Healthy Longevity Survey and the Active Life Expectancy of the Oldest Old in China.Population,13(1):95-116.


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